Automated baseline from FEMA and NOAA data, release 2026-10.

Utah County, UT

Risk-assessment baseline packet. County FIPS 49049. Release 2026-10, data as of 2026-09-30.

Summary

Plan status as of 2026-09-30: Approved, expires 2027-05-17. Plan: Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125), approved 2022-05-18.

Since the plan was approved on 2022-05-18: 2 new hazard declarations (2 incidents): DR-4752-UT (Flooding), FM-5639-UT (Iron Fire).

NOAA Storm Events records since that date: 186 records (data through 2026-06-30).

Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Earthquake ($162,522,878 a year), Inland Flooding ($63,895,685) and Wildfire ($35,012,802).

Repetitive-loss flood properties now: FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 0.

The packet's tables are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); the summaries below follow the same order.

Download the packet

Full packet as a web page. File manifest (checksums, source versions).

Plan clock

Approved, expires 2027-05-17

Plan:
Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)
Approved:
2022-05-18
Days to expiry:
229
Update underway:
none recorded in FEMA's plan tracker

What changed since your last plan (approved 2022-05-18)

New federal declarations:
2 new hazard declarations (2 incidents): DR-4752-UT (Flooding), FM-5639-UT (Iron Fire)
Storm Events records since approval:
186 records (data through 2026-06-30)
Repetitive loss now:
FMA RL 0, SRL 0 (44 CFR 77.2); any definition: 0
Repeat-flood change:
this release sets the baseline count.

Plan status for every jurisdiction listed in this county

26 jurisdictions. Each row is that jurisdiction's own plan clock. Notes include other approved plans FEMA lists for the same jurisdiction.

JurisdictionTypeStatusPlanApprovedExpiresDays to expirynegative = days since expiryUpdate underwayNotes
Utah CountyCountyApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Alpine cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
American Fork cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Cedar Hills cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Eagle Mountain cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Elk Ridge cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Fairfield townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Genola townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Goshen townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Highland cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Lehi cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Lindon cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Mapleton cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Orem cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Payson cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Pleasant Grove cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Provo cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Salem cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Santaquin cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Saratoga Springs cityCityApproved, expires 2031-01-07Saratoga Springs, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2026 (FEMA plan 111162)2026-01-082031-01-071,560Also approved under plan 108125 (Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022, expires 2027-05-17). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last.
Spanish Fork cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Springville cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Vineyard townTownApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Woodland Hills cityCityApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Nebo School DistrictSchool/School DistrictApproved, expires 2027-05-17Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022 (FEMA plan 108125)2022-05-182027-05-17229
Central Utah Water Conservancy DistrictWater/Sewer AuthorityApproved, expires 2028-11-16Central Utah Water Conservancy District Hazard Mitigation Plan 2023 (FEMA plan 109314)2023-11-172028-11-16778Also approved under plan 108125 (Mountainland AOG, UT Hazard Mitigation Plan 2022, expires 2027-05-17). FEMA's plan status map shows one plan per jurisdiction and may show one of these; this packet uses the approved plan that expires last.

Plan 108125 covers 16 other participants, named in the Excel file.

State plan status and tribal plans in this state: see the state page.

What the packet contains

Sections in FEMA checklist order; each heading names the review item its tables support. Full tables are in the downloads above.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a Hazard identification

15 of the 18 National Risk Index hazards apply here.

Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: coastal flooding and tsunami. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.

Highest expected annual loss (NRI, modeled): Earthquake, Inland Flooding and Wildfire.

Not covered by NRI (local data needed): dam failure (incl. upstream dams); levee failure; flash flood as its own subtype; ice jams; debris flows; erosion (riverine and coastal); land subsidence and sinkholes; expansive soils.

The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b Hazard location

  • Avalanche, Earthquake, Hurricane, Landslide, Tornado, Volcanic Activity and Wildfire: Varies within the county: the census tracts with the highest National Risk Index rating for this hazard are listed. FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool (RAPT) maps the National Risk Index for every tract (https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool).
  • Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather: Affects the whole county; national data give no location within it.
  • Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c Hazard extent

Storm Events records for 13 of the 20 NOAA event-type groups mapped to the 18 hazards, with the scale, observed range and worst recorded event for each; the others say which local data are needed.

  • Hail: 2 in hail, 1987-07-21
  • Thunderstorm Wind: 92 kt (106 mph) measured gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2006-08-01
  • Tornado: F1 tornado, 1965-07-09, 0.4 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 17 yd wide, $2,500 property; crops not recorded (1965 dollars)

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d Previous occurrences

Federal declarations for this area: 13 declarations covering 10 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet; each with type, dates and county Public Assistance dollars.

New since the last plan (approved 2022-05-18): FM-5639-UT and DR-4752-UT.

Hazards with no Storm Events record and no federal declaration are stated as such (6 of 18).

Storm Events history: 1,136 records (notable ones in the PDF, all of them in the Excel file).

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e Probability of future events

FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) for each hazard, with a descriptor from a scale defined in the packet.

  • Highly likely: Landslide, Lightning and Winter Weather
  • Likely: Avalanche, Hail, Inland Flooding, Strong Wind, Tornado and Wildfire
  • Possible: Cold Wave, Heat Wave and Ice Storm
  • Unlikely: Volcanic Activity

Historical frequency by intensity band (tornado, hail, wind): 9 bands from Storm Events.

Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f Hazards that vary across jurisdictions

Range of census tract risk scores within the area for 16 of the 18 hazards (156 tracts; rated tracts only).

24 jurisdictions: plan clock, repeat-flood count, Public Assistance dollars and event records naming the place (starting figures from federal data).

County Public Assistance in B1-d also includes applicants filed under the county that are not jurisdictions in this plan (for example state agencies, special districts and nonprofits), so the jurisdiction rows add up to less.

Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b Vulnerability and potential impacts

The packet's table gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.

Storm Events damage since 2022-05-18: $818,250 in county-coded records (75 records); $1,763,000 reported for the zone (111 zone records). Data through 2026-06-30; nominal dollars.

Local data needed

To gather:

  • Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
  • A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
  • Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
  • Future assets

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a Vulnerability (county context)

Population 659,138; building value $102,332,574,955 and agriculture value $260,820,632 (total, not at risk).

National Risk Index rating Relatively High; social vulnerability Very Low; community resilience Very High.

Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c Repetitive loss properties

Repetitive-loss properties, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2): 0 repetitive loss, 0 severe repetitive loss. NFIP insurance definition: 0 and 0.

Mitigated 0; insured 0; NFIP data as of 2026-08-02. Counts by occupancy group and for each jurisdiction are in the packet.

Releases

Each release is dated; this is release 2026-10. It was first published 2026-09-30; its files do not change. Later releases will be listed here with what changed between them. All releases.

Cite this

Hazard Plain (2026). Utah County, UT: risk-assessment baseline packet, release 2026-10 (data as of 2026-09-30; County FIPS 49049). Automated baseline. https://hazardplain.org/ut/49049/ Built from FEMA OpenFEMA, the FEMA National Risk Index and NOAA NCEI Storm Events; source versions in the packet's Sources list.

Source citations for the plan's bibliography (8)

How this packet is built: methods and sources