Risk-assessment baseline packet. Planning region FIPS 09150. Release 2026-10, data as of 2026-09-30.
Summary
Plan status as of 2026-09-30: No county-level plan row in FEMA data.
Highest expected annual loss (FEMA National Risk Index, modeled total; see B1-a): Inland Flooding ($23,519,641 a year), Hurricane ($6,295,057) and Earthquake ($710,729).
The packet's tables are organized by the items of FEMA's Local Mitigation Plan Review Tool, Element B (B1-a to B2-c); the summaries below follow the same order.
What the packet contains
Sections in FEMA checklist order; each heading names the review item its tables support. Full tables are in the downloads above.
Supports FEMA checklist item B1-a Hazard identification
16 of the 18 National Risk Index hazards apply here.
Not applicable to this county per NRI, with no federal declaration and no Storm Events record since 1996: avalanche and volcanic activity. That is the evidence for leaving them out of the plan.
Highest expected annual loss (NRI, modeled): Inland Flooding, Hurricane and Earthquake.
Not covered by NRI (local data needed): dam failure (incl. upstream dams); levee failure; flash flood as its own subtype; ice jams; debris flows; erosion (riverine and coastal); land subsidence and sinkholes; expansive soils.
The state hazard mitigation plan also lists hazards for this county; FEMA asks the plan to explain any hazard it leaves out.
Supports FEMA checklist item B1-b Hazard location
- Coastal Flooding and Inland Flooding: The FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) is the required location source for flooding. See the FEMA Flood Map Service Center (https://msc.fema.gov) for this county.
- Cold Wave, Drought, Hail, Heat Wave, Ice Storm, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather: Affects the whole county; national data give no location within it.
- Earthquake, Hurricane, Landslide, Tornado, Tsunami and Wildfire: Varies within the county: the census tracts with the highest National Risk Index rating for this hazard are listed. FEMA's Resilience Analysis and Planning Tool (RAPT) maps the National Risk Index for every tract (https://www.fema.gov/emergency-managers/practitioners/resilience-analysis-and-planning-tool).
Supports FEMA checklist item B1-c Hazard extent
Storm Events records for 13 of the 20 NOAA event-type groups mapped to the 18 hazards, with the scale, observed range and worst recorded event for each; the others say which local data are needed.
- Hail: 2.75 in hail, 1995-06-20; same size also recorded on 1969-05-29
- Thunderstorm Wind: 74 kt (85 mph) estimated gust, Thunderstorm Wind, 2014-07-27; same speed and measurement basis also recorded on 2008-07-02
- Tornado: F3 tornado, 1954-05-10, 0.3 mi path length (whole path, pre-1996), 33 yd wide, $25,000 property; crops not recorded (1954 dollars), 2 direct injuries
Supports FEMA checklist item B1-d Previous occurrences
Federal declarations for this area: 86 declarations covering 24 separate hazard incidents counted in this packet; each with type, dates and county Public Assistance dollars.
Connecticut planning regions have no county-level plan in FEMA data; see each town's plan dates in the region.
2 statewide declarations listed separately.
Hazards with no Storm Events record and no federal declaration are stated as such (6 of 18).
Storm Events history: 1,372 records (notable ones in the PDF, all of them in the Excel file).
Supports FEMA checklist item B1-e Probability of future events
FEMA annualized frequency (modeled) for each hazard, with a descriptor from a scale defined in the packet.
- Highly likely: Hail, Inland Flooding, Lightning, Strong Wind and Winter Weather
- Likely: Coastal Flooding, Cold Wave, Drought, Heat Wave, Hurricane, Ice Storm, Landslide and Tornado
Historical frequency by intensity band (tornado, hail, wind): 9 bands from Storm Events.
Supports FEMA checklist item B1-f Hazards that vary across jurisdictions
Range of census tract risk scores within the area for 16 of the 18 hazards (26 tracts; rated tracts only).
16 jurisdictions: plan clock, repeat-flood count, Public Assistance dollars and event records naming the place (starting figures from federal data).
Supports FEMA checklist items B2-a and B2-b Vulnerability and potential impacts
The packet's table gives county-level starting figures; the plan describes impacts for each jurisdiction and its own assets.
Connecticut planning regions have no county-level plan in FEMA data; see each town's plan dates in the region.
Local data needed
To gather:
- Critical facilities and lifelines per hazard
- A problem statement per jurisdiction per hazard
- Changes in development in hazard-prone areas since the last approval, or a statement of none (E1-a)
- Future assets
Supports FEMA checklist item B2-a Vulnerability (county context)
Population 95,308; building value $20,961,789,246 and agriculture value $63,753,853 (total, not at risk).
National Risk Index rating Relatively Low; social vulnerability Very Low; community resilience Relatively High.
Supports FEMA checklist item B2-c Repetitive loss properties
Repetitive-loss properties, FMA definition (44 CFR 77.2): 0 repetitive loss, 1 severe repetitive loss. NFIP insurance definition: 6 and 1.
Mitigated 0; insured 2; NFIP data as of 2026-08-02. Counts by occupancy group and for each jurisdiction are in the packet.